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vanbeek:jms02 [Wednesday, 19 March 2008 : 15:56:32] (current)
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 +====== Chaos in Discrete Production Systems? ======
  
 +
 +//J.P.M. Schmitz, D.A. van Beek, J.E. Rooda// ​
 +
 +In literature, several cases are reported of models of discrete
 +non-stochastic production systems that show irregular, apparently chaotic
 +behavior. In this paper a number of these cases are analyzed, and the
 +irregular behavior is attributed to (1) chaotic behavior in hybrid models,
 +(2) chaotic behavior in discrete-event models that use a chaotic map, or (3)
 +periodic behavior with a period longer than the observation window. The
 +irregular behavior of a discrete-event model of a two-machine production
 +system is analyzed by means of nonlinear time series analysis and
 +sensitivity analysis. This case reveals the possibilities and limitations of
 +the application of chaos theory to discrete-event models of production
 +systems. Also, a new method for determining the sensitivity of
 +discrete-event models to truly small changes is introduced. Realistic,
 +non-artificial discrete-event models of discrete production systems that
 +show chaotic behavior were not found in this study.
 +
 +//Journal of Manufacturing Systems//, vol. 21, no. 3, 236-246, 2002.
 +
 +{{jms02.pdf|pdf}}
vanbeek/jms02.txt · Last modified: Wednesday, 19 March 2008 : 15:56:32 (external edit)